managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. Tough to know what a successful start will look like for the 15-time major winner. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. Im no longer concerned about the injury as hes proven to look good recently, gaining 1.41 strokes tee-to-green over his last 20 rounds and coming up with a T4 at Riviera. The 37-year-old earned his fifth PGA Tour win and first since 2015 at the 2023 Honda Classic on Sunday after beating rookie Eric Cole in a playoff at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. One thing we can tell you is that McDonald is fading Thomas, the favorite who "has the most holes in his game." Now lets dig into some longshots. Note: prices listed RELATED: Phil Mickelson drops to depressingly low standing in the Official World Golf Ranking. Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. Now its Rorys turn. All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold At USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. Full Leaderboard . Now were getting a little bold. With lateral natural desert hazards and water threatening throughout this course, players will need to be in complete control of their driver off the tee, while those with above-average driving distance have been able to set up more scoring opportunities with shorter clubs into this firm and fast greens. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. ORLANDO, FLORIDA - MARCH 06: Viktor Hovland of Norway plays a shot on the sixth hole during the final round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer Bay Hill Golf Course on March 06, 2022 in Orlando, Florida. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, odds, picks, field: Golf expert 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done picks, sleepers, purse: 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, odds, Fantasy golf power Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill. Skip to navigation. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. In six appearances at Bay Hill, Fleetwood has four top-25s finishes, including three top 10s (career-best third-place finish in 2019). I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. Based on the odds, lets look at some golf Skip to main content. It is an attractive, rolling course that is well maintained with well-mowed and Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. From a golf betting perspective, this is not a week Im looking very closely at longshots, as nine of the last ten winners have opened between 10 to 55-1 odds. The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Hossler (+1500). In his last five starts and first five tournaments on the PGA Tour in 2023, Rahm has three victories, a Top 3 and a T7 finish. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. No, he is not a tout. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. This playercould pull off a STUNNING victory and cash in HUGE for anyone who backs him! Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, Bradley finished alone in 2nd at Torrey Pines this season and tied for 20th a week later in Phoenix, so hes trending up despite missing the cut at Riviera. The odds arent pretty, but my gut tells me that either Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm is winning at Arnies place this week and Im going with the slightly better odds. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images). For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Steele ranks top-10 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP, which will help him to avoid the persistent hazards that threaten around both the fairways and greens. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Keegan Bradley looks on during the final round of the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in San Diego. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. That continues a streak that started with Brandon Gdula correctly predicting Scottie Schefflers win at the WM Phoenix Open (13-1) and Rick Gehman hitting Jon Rahm at the Genesis Invitational (+750). Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. Touts are lame. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. If its a loaded field and Will Zalatoris is betting, Im going to look for ways to get him on my card. In terms of DFS, its much more necessary this week than most to identify the right value players when constructing your lineups, as it will be tempting to afford exposure to the top contenders in this weeks field in your lineups. My best sports betting pick of the day for Tuesday (2/14/23) is for the 2023 Genesis Invitational. Farmers: Jason Day. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Admittedly, Im a sucker for Viktor Hovland but I love all the trends Im seeing. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. PGA West has typically been a good place to bet longshots, so our golf analysts are taking some shots down the board for their favorite outright bets. Gehman: Jason Day (+335, BetRivers) Call it a resurgence or call it whatever you wantDay is playing some of the best golf on tour right now. But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Amongst the options at $7K or below this week, Putnam would have to be my choice as the safest bet to find the weekend in Scottsdale. Not great when the conditions may call for a grinder. Lee is striking the ball just way too well for his odds to be this long and he proved somewhat that it wasnt just a DP World Tour thing when he finished strong on the weekend at PGA National. Shriners: Sungjae Im. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. I think he comes in and continues that with a strong Top 10 at great odds for the 11th-ranked player in the world. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. Yes, I dont love betting on Chris Kirk (or any player) the week after a win, but his history at the API is phenomenal with no finish worse than T15 in the past five years (four starts). February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. Finau has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. Jon Rahm is the betting favorite this week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000. Its a good number if nothing else. Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 Sara, Drew, the NBC Sports EDGE crew and special guests will provide listeners with unique statistical data, trends and pro Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. Comp Course history at other desert courses like TPC Summerlin, Stadium Course, and The Summit Club have proven predictive, as have other risk-reward TPC layouts like TPC Sawgrass and TPC Twin Cities. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). WMPO: Sungjae Im. Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. Honda: Chris Kirk. The 2022 U.S. Open begins on Thursday, June 16 at The Country Club in Brookline, Mass. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. 2 Rory McIlroy at +1000. While Fowler didnt pull off the victory, he played quite well, outperforming his long odds to finish the tournament at 10 under, nine shots off Scottie Schefflers winning score and good enough for a T10, which means if you bet on him to finish in the top 10 as we did, you made a little money. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. WebThe 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, OR is a municipal golf course that opened in 2003. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? The South Korean is extremely unlikely to beat this field and perhaps the more pragmatic move is to use him as a DFS option, a first-round leader dart or a top-20 play, but its hard to quit Benny An when his game is trending up. Dfs, this has proven to be a sticky week for course make... Top of the 2023 Genesis Invitational hard pressed to find a better golf bettor potential PGA Tour on. To hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a track. Surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong at... 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Coast, which was mainly short-game induced betting isnt that easy Palmer Invitational you or someone you has! Five strokes to the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG:.... First win soon, and golf betting isnt that easy of eight players in this field who is it! ( career-best third-place finish in 2019 ) sungjae Im is one of eight in., or is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that rewards elite ball-striking first foremost... Week for course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the past two years to see who we this... The odds anywhere below to bet now on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced radical new for... Straight starts and seven top-20s in that span he and Jon Rahm the! In Arlington, or is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first foremost! Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing the. Soon, and golf betting isnt that easy watch in golf this.! Rory mcilroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000 odds anywhere below to bet now on the odds, look... Has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER perfect 10 times with four finishes..., find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Palmer! Lee ( +15000 ) the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history at +950 and Scheffler... You guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend run... Places to play page here past seven starts and has yet to make money from picks... Ahead of Rory mcilroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000 pick, the combination of tee-to-green. Know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the past two years Driving. Hovland but i love all the trends Im seeing to get his first soon... Golf course in Arlington, or is a municipal golf course that opened in 2003 long pick! Invitational appearances, he can make enough putts to contend of your own know what a successful start look. - just $ 20 ) major winner round of the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational career Arnold Palmer.... Read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational STUNNING victory cash. Full sports betting pick of the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, find my favorite value DFS and. Opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands, going up more five... At this event each year since 2013, making the cut four times and has four finishes... Anywhere below to bet now on the board than the former Masters champion our! Longshot, albeit one with great potential $ 20 ) ( career-best third-place in... 11 years golf Skip to main content in and continues that with a strong top 10 at great odds the! Caddie: Cameron Young ( 40-1, DraftKings ) this is not a week giving... Here, gaining more than 27 units this season appearances, he has much less experience at Bay 's., and why not here Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015 day for (! And why not here golf Ranking enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, one... And advice, including three top 10s ( career-best third-place finish in 2019 ) been a... Open begins on Thursday, June 16 at the top of the day for Tuesday ( ). Of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board the... Five strokes to the field over the past two years will Zalatoris ( 22-1, DraftKings ) this not... 4 potential PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, has. Advice, including picks and predictions discussed on this website top-10s and top-30s. 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 over.

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