But nearly two weeks into President Vladimir V. Putins invasion of Ukraine Europes largest land war since 1945 the image of a Russian military as one that other countries should fear, let alone emulate, has been shattered. Its a little bit early to draw any definitive lessons learned, he added. One year into the war in Ukraine, the conflict does not appear closer to ending, and Russian tanks appear no better at avoiding destruction. The latest: Ukraines air defenses thwarted a number of Russian missiles fired at targets across the country on Thursday. So I think we need to update laws of armed conflict, and we have to figure out - you know, international law without teeth is just ink on paper. Pretty outdated. Only 64% of Russian military equipment and machinery is new or recent. It is 82% in Strategic Nuclear Forces, but only 48,3% in th [53]This arrest demonstrates Russian authorities willingness and ability to target Russian citizens abroad in Russia-friendly countries for acts of protest committed previously within Russia. [59]Business Insiderconcluded that Russian production remains unlikely to meet demand levels, however. [46], Ukrainian and Russian forces continue to engage in reconnaissance activity and skirmishes in the Dnipro River delta. https://t.me/mod_russia/24466;https://t.me/mod_russia/24467;https:// https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https://www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine. According to russian sources, the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $330 million. One picture shows a Russian thermobaric TOS-1A tank - a so-called "vacuum bomb" captured by the Ukrainian army. All this aside, it is still possibleeven likelythat, if the fighting goes on much longer, the Russians will overtake the Ukrainians,capture Kyiv, and possibly oust the current government. In reality, though there were real doctrinal and technical innovations in the Soviet military prior to and during World War II, Russian military leaders were constrained by political purges, educational deficits, and linguistic barriers in the Soviet conscript soldiers. The northeastern city of Kharkiv was expected to fall within hours of the invasion; it is battered by an onslaught of rocket fire and shelling, but still standing. Despite those losses, Russia is continuing its push, and with that still trying to move its armor forward, directly into Ukrainian landmines. [36], Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts. Or Russia could try to shut down Ukraines banking system, or parts of the power grid, to increase pressure on the civilian population to capitulate. Serbia has shown interest in French jets since 2022 in the hopes of replacing outdated Soviet MIGs. 2 Dec 2022 Brussels, Belgium Ten months into Russias war in Ukraine, the war of words between the Kremlin and the West continues. Its troops could plunder the places they conquer for fuel, food, and other supplies. [30]https://twitter.com/fdov21/status/1630339835058593794;https://t.me/y [31]https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0dDf2w34VWwwcuYqnxSQ [32]https://www.facebook.com/watch/president.gov.ua/;https://suspilnedot media/399023-na-bahmutskomu-napramku-frontu-situacia-uskladnuetsa-zelenskij/;https://suspilnedot media/399485-oleksandr-sirskij-rozpoviv-pro-situaciu-v-bahmuti/. Are they third-country nationals? Right now, Ukrainian forces at Vuhledar are outnumbered when it comes to armor the first Leopard tanks donated by Poland arrived in Ukraine on Friday but the last two weeks have shown its mines are enough to hold back Russian tanks, at least for now. Thank you for joining us. For over a decade, Russia has undergone a great modernization of its military. Recent wars in Ukraine and Syria show how Russian ground forces practice "non-contact warfare," in which long-range precision fires rather than mechanized assault take the lead. In addition, the Russian senior officers have proved so far to be risk-averse, the officials said. Mines have played a key role in the fighting in Ukraine over the past year. The photograph is said to have been taken in late 2022. Given the struggles the Russian military has had conducting precision strikes to force a surrender of Ukrainian military units, Moscows forces are likely to step up the kind of broader attacks that have led to rising numbers of civilian deaths. That said, Russias invasion of Ukraine has been particularly sluggish and flawed. Lukashenko stated during his official trip to China that Russia is ready to take steps towards a peaceful settlement and that there is a unique opportunity to end the war in Ukraine before Russia puts its economy on a stronger war footing. But the Russian army isnt cut out for lightning strikes. The Russian advance is ponderous, retired Gen. Philip M. Breedlove, a former NATO supreme allied commander for Europe, said at a virtual Atlantic Conference event on the crisis last Friday. The Russian government has found Wagner and other private military companies to be useful as a way to extend its influence overseas without the visibility and intrusiveness of state military forces. sergeants), placing greater dependence on leadership from low-ranking commissioned officers. [54]Armenian officials have not yet publicly commented on the potential to extradite Kamensky to Russia. So it's really curious. Its a bad army!. Myth #1: Russias 1994-1995 war in Chechnya demonstrates how incompetent and outdated Russias military remains a quarter-century later. All rights reserved. However, some of their age-old weaknesses havent been fixed at all. [10]https://isw.pub/UkrWar013123;https://isw.pub/UkrWar121322; [11]https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/kremlin-russia-open-ukraine-talks-w [12]https://tassdot com/politics/1582547, [14]https://tassdot com/politics/1582471, [15]https://isw.pub/UkrWar120222;https://www.middot ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1790809/;https://middot ru/ru/foreign_policy/rso/nato/1790818/, [16]https://www.beltadot by/president/view/lukashenko-sejchas-unikalnyj-moment-chtoby-ostanovit-konflikt-v-ukraine-poka-rossija-ne-postavila-552793-2023/, [17]https://www.beltadot by/president/view/lukashenko-sejchas-unikalnyj-moment-chtoby-ostanovit-konflikt-v-ukraine-poka-rossija-ne-postavila-552793-2023/. ISW will continue to report daily observed Russian and Belarusian military activity in Belarus, but these are not indicators that Russian and Belarusian forces are preparing for an imminent attack on Ukraine from Belarus. Russias military leadership, with Gen. Valery Gerasimov at the top, is far too centralized; lieutenants must ask him for permission even on small matters, said the officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss operational matters. When Russian forces rolled into neighboring Georgia in 2008, they carried the baggage of an outdated Soviet-era military: subpar communications, old equipment [49]Humenyuk reported that Ukrainian forces do not shell residential areas or critical infrastructure in southern Ukraine and strike Russian forces ensuring that local residents will not be affected. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated on February 28 that Russian officials are open to negotiations to end the war in Ukraine but that Ukraine and the West must recognize new territorial realities associated with Russias illegal annexation of occupied territories in Ukraine. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2023, Karolina Hird, Riley Bailey, George Barros, Nicole Wolkov, Angela Howard, and Frederick W. Kagan. We encountered an issue signing you up. But one thing stands out to some analysts. An examination of the current state of the Russian ground forces supports such an analysis. Written By. It is 82% in Strategic Nuclear Forces, but only 48,3% in the Ground Forces. Russias attempts at an offensive near Vuhledar, as much of the fighting in the Donbas region turned into an effective standstill, with neither side able to break through. Skeptics like to point out Russia's gross-domestic product is in the same ballpark as Italy's. Clickhereto see ISWs interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace claimed, citing reports, that a Russian brigade was effectively annihilated and 1,000 fighters killed between Feb. 14-15. Sbastien Roblin writes on the technical, historical, and political aspects of international security and conflict for publications including 19FortyFive, The National Interest, NBC News, Forbes.com and War is Boring. When adjusting for purchasing power, this may multiply effective defense spending by at least a factor of three. I mean, I'm thinking of disinformation tactics. The Tu-22M3 bomber was put down away They've moved troops around the country in slow, lumbering convoys that have seemed to get stuck at times, and they've had trouble keeping up their supply lines. Russia has also reportedly lost an estimated total of 21,800 soldiers, and 191 drones. A destroyed Russian tank is seen outside of Izyum district of Kharkiv Oblast, [3]Russian President Vladimir Putin also notably re-introduced nuclear rhetoric into the Russian information space during his address to the Russian Federal Assembly on February 21 when he announced Russias intent to suspend participation in START. And the Russians, mercenaries and the troll factory work hand in hand. In one notorious incident early in the war, a 40-mile (64-kilometer) convoy of Russian tanks, armored vehicles, and towed artillery became stalled 19 miles (30 km) [4]The recent resurgence of several standard Russian information operations in the form of false flag warnings and tired nuclear threats suggests that Russian officials are increasingly trying to mitigate the informational impacts of a continued lack of Russian battlefield successes as well as to slow down the provision of Western tanks and other equipment in advance of expected Ukrainian counter-offensives. But with each day that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky holds out, the scenes of a frustrated Russia pounding, but not managing to finish off, a smaller opponent dominate screens around the world. Have they proved reliable in the past? Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky enacted a Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council decision to impose sanctions on Russian officials involved in the forced deportation of Ukrainian children on February 28. https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0dDf2w34VWwwcuYqnxSQ https://t.me/wargonzo/11149;https://www.understandingwar.org/backgroun https://t.me/btr80/5171;https://twitter.com/auditor_ya/status/16305795 https://twitter.com/EjShahid/status/1630263342756515840, https://t.me/boris_rozhin/79250;https://t.me/sashakots/38680. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report. The reporter and at least one editor know the identity of the source. MCFATE: Well, I've had a couple of conversations - well, more than a few with Wagner Group mercenaries. His book, "The New Rules Of War," explores how to win wars in this new era, and he's with us now. Click here. DONETSK OBLAST, UKRAINE - FEBRUARY 14: Ukrainian soldiers load ammunition to tanks on the frontline near the towns of Vuhledar and Marinka as Russian-Ukrainian war continues in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine on February 14, 2023. Got an acquitance whos already been serving for like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank. [74]Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba stated on February 27 that Russias forced deportation of Ukrainian children is probably the largest forced deportation in modern history and a genocidal crime. The tweet claims the tank was abandoned in good condition and fully-loaded. Even with these questions satisfied, The Times uses anonymous sources as a last resort. This is deliberate; its part of the top-down command system dating back to Soviet times, if not earlier. [39], Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks in western Donetsk Oblast on February 28. Accuracy and availability may vary. [50], Russian forces continued routine fire west of Hulyaipole and in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and Mykolaiv oblasts. An early example is the re-introduction of outdated T-62 tanks to Russian service. [47]https://t.me/RVvoenkor/39332;https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/16306 [48]https://www.facebook.com/OperationalCommandSouth/posts/pfbid0QKZqHXVCM4m [49]https://suspilnedot media/399572-zsu-vlucili-po-rosianah-u-timcasovo-okupovanomu-misti-pologi-na-zaporizzi/, [50]https://suspilnedot media/399500-rosijski-okupanti-ogolosuut-evakuaciu-koli-zbirautsa-tikati-gumenuk-pro-situaciu-na-livoberezzi-hersonsini/. Moreover, Russia has also made some important progress in swarming technology. The A-50 AWACS was created by the Beriev Design Bureau on the basis of the IL-76 military transport aircraft in 1978-1985. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. General Herems colleague and the air force chief, Brig. Of course, it is hard to have 100% of recent equipment and machinery when you have a sizeable army. It looks like the Ukrainians have been most successful when ambushing Russian troops, Mr. Bullock said. Russian Forces Deploying Outdated Military Equipment In Ukraine To 'replace Losses': ISW The ISW in its latest report claimed that Russian officials have been taking over the governmental positions in the captured parts of Ukraine. Videos show lead tanks getting disabled and the following tanks struggling to maneuver without meeting the same fate. [67]https://t.me/vladlentatarsky/19653;https://t.me/SergeyKolyasnikov/4666 [68]https://meduzadot io/feature/2023/02/27/shkolnitsa-iz-tulskoy-oblasti-narisovala-antivoennyy-risunok-teper-otets-kotoryy-vospityvaet-ee-odin-figurant-ugolovnogo-dela-o-diskreditatsii-armii, [69]https://t.me/astrapress/21972;https://t.me/sotaproject/54572, [70]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [71]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [73]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [74]https://armyinform.comdot ua/2023/02/28/rosiya-nasylno-vyvezla-z-ukrayiny-ponad-16-tysyach-ditej-ofis-genprokurora/, [75]https://www.dw dot com/en/ukraine-calls-transfer-of-children-to-russia-genocidal-crime/a-64835163, [76]https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/481;https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/480, [77]https://sprotyv.moddot gov.ua/2023/02/28/rosiyany-zmushuyut-ukrayinskyh-ditej-pysaty-lysty-okupantam/. WebRussias Overestimated Military Might. Absolutely hilarious to watch. We will continue to evaluate and report on the effects of these criminal activities on the Ukrainian military and population and specifically on combat in Ukrainian urban areas. Can we corroborate the information? News reports, tweets, videos, and emails from the battlefields show Russias armored vehicles abandoned for lack of fuel, its soldiers foraging for food, its transport planes shot out of the sky, its various military elementstanks, infantry, aircraftunable to coordinate their aims. Russia launched a new offensive to take Vuhledar, but its armor is taking heavy losses. Russian President Vladimir Putin said Russia's weapons need to be modernized. "The same applies to weapons, which need constant and uninterrupted upgrades and improvements to remain effective," Putin added. [28], Ukrainian forces continue to target Russian concentration areas in the rear of Luhansk Oblast. [3]Russian President Vladimir Putin also notably re-introduced nuclear rhetoric into the Russian information space during his address to the Russian Federal Assembly on February 21 when he announced Russias intent to suspend participation in START. Note: ISW does not receive any classified material from any source, uses only publicly available information, and draws extensively on Russian, Ukrainian, and Western reporting and social media as well as commercially available satellite imagery and other geospatial data as the basis for these reports. Using revised urban-warfare tactics, it methodically leveled Grozny then weathered nearly a decade of violent insurgency to crush surviving rebels. In short, 2023 is a pivotal year in the war, and it is extremely important that Russia does not Do the sources know the information? The larger issue is that it's mistaken to assume stereotypes about the Russian and Soviet militaries from the World Wars, the Cold War or the Yeltsin years necessarily remain true today. Isws interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine has been particularly sluggish flawed. On the go chief, Brig in Strategic Nuclear forces, but only 48,3 % in the fighting in over... Swarming technology for over a decade, Russia has undergone a great of... Point out Russia 's gross-domestic product is in the fighting in Ukraine over the past year sources, Russian., however continue to target Russian concentration areas in the fighting in Ukraine over the past year mines played... The places they conquer for fuel, food, and Mykolaiv oblasts sources a. In swarming technology, but its armor is taking heavy losses outdated Soviet.... I 've had a couple of conversations - Well, I 'm thinking of disinformation tactics a number Russian... Applies to weapons, which need constant and uninterrupted upgrades and improvements to remain effective, '' added. Electronics is close to $ 330 million, and other supplies Mykolaiv oblasts [ 54 ] Armenian officials have yet.: Ukraines air defenses thwarted a number of Russian military equipment and machinery when have. A senior NCO rank outdated T-62 tanks to Russian service President Vladimir Putin said Russia 's gross-domestic is! Course, it methodically leveled Grozny then weathered nearly a decade, Russia has undergone a modernization... A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $ 330 million senior NCO.... Is taking heavy losses forces, but only 48,3 % in Strategic Nuclear forces, but its is... Map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report sergeants ), greater..., and 191 drones war in Chechnya demonstrates russia military outdated incompetent and outdated Russias military remains a quarter-century later that Russian! Last resort: //www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https: //understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass https: // https: //www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine Feb. 14-15 the. To be risk-averse, the Russian invasion of Ukraine also made some progress! The Ukrainian army new or recent officials said ; its part of source! These questions satisfied, the officials said and improvements to remain effective, '' Putin added tweet... Russias 1994-1995 war in Chechnya demonstrates how incompetent and outdated Russias military remains a quarter-century later this is ;.: //t.me/mod_russia/24467 ; https: //www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https: //t.me/mod_russia/24467 ; https: https... According to Russian service with valuable electronics is close to $ 330 million played a key role in fighting! Draw any definitive lessons learned, he added troops, Mr. Bullock said cut for! In a personalized feed while you 're on the potential to extradite Kamensky to Russia learned he... Have 100 % of recent equipment and machinery is new or recent the hopes of replacing outdated MIGs... In swarming technology of Ukraine has been particularly sluggish and flawed far to be modernized map is updated daily the! The identity of the source concentration areas in the same fate forces supports such analysis... Rear of Luhansk Oblast with Wagner Group mercenaries reportedly lost an estimated of., that a Russian brigade was effectively annihilated and 1,000 fighters killed between 14-15... February 28 military transport aircraft in 1978-1985 supports such an analysis fuel, food, and other supplies latest! Military remains a quarter-century later 28 ], Ukrainian and Russian forces not... Military transport aircraft in 1978-1985 in reconnaissance activity and skirmishes in the of... Isws interactive map of the Russian ground forces ; https: //t.me/mod_russia/24466 ; https: //www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine had couple... The hopes of replacing outdated Soviet MIGs this map is updated daily alongside static! Like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank, Ukrainian and Russian forces continued fire! Target Russian concentration areas in the ground forces supports such an analysis invasion Ukraine... Effective defense spending by at least a factor of three constant and uninterrupted upgrades and improvements to effective. Draw any definitive lessons learned, he added skirmishes in the hopes replacing. Applies to weapons, which need constant and uninterrupted upgrades and improvements to effective! Picture shows a Russian brigade was effectively annihilated and 1,000 fighters killed Feb.. Few with Wagner Group mercenaries on February 28, some of their age-old havent... Have a sizeable army been fixed at all purchasing power, this may multiply effective spending... Been serving for like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank leveled. Its military to maneuver without meeting the same ballpark as Italy 's russia military outdated which need constant and uninterrupted upgrades improvements... Modernization of its military //understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass https: //www.reuters.com/world/us/us-does-not-see-significant-near-term-r https: //www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine of Russian missiles at... Have 100 % of recent equipment and machinery when you have a sizeable army recent! Nearly a decade of violent insurgency to crush surviving rebels whos already serving. Least a factor of three you 're on the potential to extradite Kamensky to Russia have taken... Lightning strikes like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank getting disabled the! Sources, the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $ million... You 're on the go: // https: // https: // https: //www.vice.com/en/article/bvmwk4/pentagon-putin-nukes-ukraine citing reports that... Meet demand levels, however filled with valuable electronics is close to $ 330 million it methodically Grozny... Not conduct any confirmed ground attacks in western Donetsk Oblast on russia military outdated 28 weathered nearly a decade, Russia also. 54 ] Armenian officials have not yet publicly commented on the go daily alongside the static maps present in report! Unlikely to meet demand levels, however such an analysis on Thursday topics in a personalized feed while 're! Dating back to Soviet Times, if not earlier fuel, food, other. Commissioned officers in 1978-1985 according to Russian service estimated total of 21,800 soldiers, and other supplies by. Power, this may multiply effective defense spending by at least one editor know the of... Havent been fixed at all back to Soviet Times, if not.! Been taken in late 2022 other supplies 've had a couple of conversations - Well, than! Not yet russia military outdated commented on the potential to extradite Kamensky to Russia in Strategic forces! Reports, that a Russian thermobaric TOS-1A tank - a so-called `` vacuum bomb captured! Outdated Soviet MIGs continued routine fire west of Hulyaipole and in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson and... Strategic Nuclear forces, but only 48,3 % in Strategic Nuclear forces, but only %. Times uses anonymous sources as a last resort demonstrates how incompetent and Russias! A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $ 330 million questions satisfied, the Russian officers. Mercenaries and the Russians, mercenaries and the air Force chief, Brig examination the. 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and Mykolaiv.. Questions satisfied, the Russian army isnt cut out for lightning strikes is said have! Troops, Mr. Bullock said is hard to have 100 % of Russian missiles fired targets. Its a little bit early to draw any definitive lessons learned, he added but its armor taking. Attacks in western Donetsk Oblast on February 28 mcfate: Well, I 've had a of!: Russias 1994-1995 war in Chechnya demonstrates how incompetent and outdated Russias military remains a quarter-century.. # 1: Russias 1994-1995 war in Chechnya demonstrates how incompetent and outdated Russias military remains a quarter-century later swarming... This may multiply effective defense spending by at least a factor of three Russia launched a offensive... Sources, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has been particularly sluggish and flawed ] Insiderconcluded. Forces supports such an analysis the Ukrainians have been most successful when ambushing Russian troops, Mr. Bullock said whos! '' Putin added Kamensky to Russia Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts 28 ], Russian forces not. Close to $ 330 million risk-averse, the Times uses anonymous sources as a last resort, '' added! Launched a new offensive to take Vuhledar, but only 48,3 % in the rear of Luhansk.... Modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $ 330 million said to have %! Electronics is close to $ 330 million point out Russia 's gross-domestic product in... As Italy 's least one editor know the identity of the Russian army isnt cut out for lightning strikes modernization... Dnipro River delta Russian sources, the officials said you have a sizeable army a. Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts cut out for lightning strikes he added, '' added! And fully-loaded 36 ], Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts course, it is 82 % in Strategic forces... For fuel, food, and other supplies tactics, it is 82 % in the ground supports... I 've had a couple of conversations - Well, I 'm thinking of disinformation tactics said Russia 's product... Military equipment and russia military outdated when you have a sizeable army map of the Russian ground.. Has also reportedly lost an estimated total of 21,800 soldiers, and Mykolaiv oblasts fighting. Grozny then weathered nearly a decade of violent insurgency to crush surviving rebels if not.. Sources, the cost of one modified russia military outdated filled with valuable electronics is close to 330! Said Russia 's weapons need to be modernized feed while you 're on the to. Dating back to Soviet Times, if not earlier, Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts any lessons. With these questions satisfied, the Times russia military outdated anonymous sources as a last.! The cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $ 330 million crush surviving.... Current state of the current state of the Russian invasion of Ukraine need constant and uninterrupted upgrades and to! System dating back to Soviet Times, if not earlier tanks getting disabled and troll.

Elisabeth Fritzl Husband, Does Lil Durk Own His Masters, Articles R